In 2012, 33 nations will compete. Some look like they’re rushing, some look closer. In this article, I look at what appears to be prolapsed (in alphabetical order).
California senate race 2012
California is a solidly Democratic state in both the national and senatorial elections, even though they elect a Republican president. In 2008, Obama got 61 percent of the vote. In the 2012 Senate race, incumbent Diane Feinstein is running for re-election; Two Democrats are running against her in the primary, but they should pose no problem. In 2006 he beat Richard Mountjoy 59-43. Many Republicans are considering running, but Feinstein’s vote is well ahead.
Minnesota Senate race 2012
Minnesota went for Obama 54-44. Both Democratic senators (Al Franken and Amy Klobuchar) are his governor (Mark Dayton). In 2012, Sen. Klobuchar is running for re-election, she faces a primary from Dick Franson and at least 7 Republicans are vying to run against her in November. In 2006, Klobuchar beat Republican Mark Kennedy 58-38. A January poll showed her by 20 or more points against different opponents.
Delaware Senate race 2012
Delaware is one of the most democratic states. Obama won 62-37. Both of its senators (Tom Carper and Chris Coons) are Democrats, as is its governor (Jack Markell). In 2012, Sen. Carper is running for re-election. His only confirmed opponent is Kevin Wade. In 2006, he beat Republican Ian Ting 67-27. I have not found any data on this stage.
Marialand Senate race 2012
Maryland is another solid Democratic state. Obama over McCain 62-36. Both of its senators are Democrats (Ben Cardin and Barbara Mikulski), as is its governor (Martin O’Malley). In 2012, Cardin ran for re-election. In 2006, Cardin beat Michael Steele 54-44. The polls show him beating the Republican general by 20 points.
Mississippi Senate race 2012
Mississippi is part of the “Solid South.” McCain beat Obama 56-43. Both of its senators are Republicans (Thad Cochran and Roger Wicker) and its governor (Phil Bryant). Capita shows Wicker easily winning against all opponents.
New York Senate race 2012
New York gave Obama a big win over McCain 63-36. Both of its senators (Kirsten Gillibrand and Chuck Schumer) are Democrats, as is its governor (Andrew Cuomo). In 2012, Sen. Gillibrand is running for re-election; He won the seat vacated by Hillary Clinton in 2010, beating Joseph DioGuardi 57-34. Three Republicans are running in November. Recent headlines show him winning by 30 points or more.
Rhode Island Senate race 2012
Rhode Island was Obama’s second best state (after Hawaii), won 63-35. Both senators are Democrats (Jack Reed and Sheldon Whitehouse). Lincoln Chaffee is an independent officer. In 2012, Whitehouse beat Chafee 53-46. Polls show him beating all Republicans by at least 10 points.
Tennessee Senate and People 2012
McCain won here, 57-42. Both of Tennessee’s senators are Republicans (Bob Corker and Lamar Alexander) and its governor (Bill Haslam). In 2012, Corker ran for re-election. Harold Ford Jr. He beat them 51-48 in 2006. Corker’s polls show that he easily wins against all opponents.
Texas senate race 2012
Texas, although strongly Republican, is not as strongly as other states. McCain won 55-44, a narrower win than the other two Republican states listed here, and even less than many other states. But its senators (John Cornyn and Kay Bailey Hutchison) are both Republicans, as is its governor (Rick Perry). Hutchison is not running for re-election in 2012, and the Republican primary field is very crowded. Three Democrats are running. But all the polls show the Republican leaders beating all the Democratic leaders pretty easily. The leading Republicans are David Dewhurst and Ted Cruz; Dewhurst leads, but the lead is reduced.
Sources:
Results of the election:
Who runs the open-source wiki for each state
e.g. California http://www.opencongress.org/wiki/CA-Senatus_I_Seat
Polls: http://www.minnpost.com/dc-dispatches/2012/01/poll-klobuchar-big-pawlenty-bachmann-support-fades
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senatus/#
Public policy vote
